(Translated by https://www.hiragana.jp/)
ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR ...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY... TROPICAL STORM ISMAEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 12 1995 ...CORRECTION FOR SPELLING OF ISMAEL... DURING MOST OF THE AFTERNOON...SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED A TYPICAL BANDING TYPE PATTERN. THE BANDING FEATURES ARE SOMEWHAT REMOVED FROM THE CENTER AT THIS TIME...BUT DEEP CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY INCREASED OVER THE SUSPECTED CENTER AND BOTH SAB AND NHC ARE CLASSIFYING THE SYSTEM AS A T2.5 ON THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE. THEREFORE ...INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 35 KNOTS AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ISMAEL. THE PRONUNCIATION OF ISMAEL IS ESE-MA-EL WITH THE ACCENT ON THE LAST SYLLABLE. SINCE THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS WELL ESTABLISHED AND THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR C...CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/06. ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A MORE WESTWARD TRACK WITH TIME. HOWEVER...THE UPPER LOW OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO VISIBLE IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DOES NOT SEEM INITIALIZED TOO WELL IN THE NMC AVIATION MODEL RUN FROM Z. BECAUSE OF THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE IMPACT OF THE UPPER LOW...WE ARE TO THE RIGHT OF ALL OF THE BAM GUIDANCE. THIS TRACK BASICALLY UPDATES THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE DEEP LAYER BAM AND THE STATISTICAL/SYNOPTIC MODEL. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 15.5N 106.9W 35 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 16.2N 107.4W 40 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 16.9N 108.2W 50 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 17.7N 109.2W 60 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 18.3N 110.3W 70 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 19.0N 112.5W 75 KTS NNNN