UPDATED: A handful of titles this weekend are closing in on new benchmarks. They include Marvel/Disney’s Captain America: Brave New World which is nearing $300M global after the sophomore session, and Disney’s Mufasa: The Lion King which is expected to hit $700M with Monday, after 10 frames and a day.
And, continuing its record-breaking run, Chinese blockbuster Ne Zha 2 is on the approach to $1.9B in the home market alone, after becoming the highest-grossing animated movie ever worldwide last week.
Meanwhile, overseas audiences are also mad about the girl as Universal/Working Title’s Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (which is out theatrically offshore, contrary to its Peacock play domestically) has topped $70M across its first two weekends. (More detail below.)
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Turning back to Cap, the Anthony Mackie/Harrison Ford-starrer dropped 60% in its second international tour (-55% excluding China), and added $35.3M from 52 markets. The overseas running cume is $148.2M for $289.4M worldwide. It’s currently pacing slightly behind Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania and The Winter Soldier internationally, and it’s looking like the movie will top out at about $450M worldwide. In Imax, the global cume is $23.3M, of which $10.2M is from overseas.
The Top 5 overall markets to date are the UK ($16.7M), China ($13.5M), Mexico ($10.7M), Korea ($9.1M) and France ($8.9M).
As noted above, Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy has surpassed $70M at the international box office. This includes $67.6M from 72 Universal markets which is well above the three previous Bridget Jones films and Ticket to Paradise at the same point, in line with It Ends With Us, and more than double Anyone But You. The running overseas cume rises to about $72M including France where Studiocanal releases (we will update with precise figures).
After the fourquel’s swoon-inducing start last weekend — biggest opening of the franchise in 41 markets/best ever for a romantic comedy in the UK (among others) — the holdover drop was 34% in UPI markets.
The UK is under Bridget’s spell with a total of $34.5M after two frames. Renée Zellweger & Co held No. 1 again, after strong midweeks, with a performance that’s above all comps at the same point including Fifty Shades of Grey. Mad About the Boy has exceeded the UK cumes of Fifty Shades Darker, It Ends With Us, Sex and the City 2 and Fifty Shades Freed.
Mad About the Boy also held the top spot in Australia, Poland and Netherlands this weekend. New markets included Czech Republic where the launch was No. 1 with $600K from 250 screens.
The Top 5 markets to date are: UK ($34.5M), Australia ($6M), Poland ($4.2M), Netherlands ($3.3M) and Spain ($1.9M).
Still to release are Italy and Germany this week, followed by Japan and Korea in April.
Also a big hit in the UK, Studiocanal’s Paddington in Peru has upped its global cume to $150.2M and the international marmalade pot to $125M, including $25.3M from Sony markets. The current frame was $7.7M in 55 total offshore markets.
As for Mufasa, the worldwide cume stands at $698.7M through Sunday including $453.3M from overseas. The 10th weekend added $4.4M from 52 markets with the big cat pawing at $700M global through tomorrow. The Top 5 offshore hubs are France ($43M), UK ($40.3M), Germany ($31.9M), Mexico ($30.9M) and Italy ($23.6M).
And, the phenom that is Ne Zha 2 has upped its China total to an estimated $1.87B according to Maoyan figures. Factoring in estimates for other markets that released across this weekend and last, the global total looks to be about $1.89B. Maoyan has again revised its final prediction for China to RMB 15.1B ($2.08B).
In Imax, NZ2 is now at $131M, which makes it the format’s 9th biggest release ever and its No. 1 animated title.
MISC UPDATED CUMES/NOTABLE
Dog Man (UNI): $3.9M intl weekend (52 markets); $26.2M intl cume/$105M global
The Brutalist (UNI): $3.3M intl weekend (44 markets); $21.5M intl cume/$36.6M global
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (PAR): $2.2M intl weekend (65 markets); $248M intl cume/$483.3M global
Nosferatu (UNI): $1.3M intl weekend (70 markets); $83.2M intl cume/$179M global
I’m Still Here (SNY): $760K intl weekend (14 markets); $23M intl cume/$27.3M global
September 5 (PAR): $585K intl weekend (21 markets); $4.2M intl cume/$6.7M global
“It’s currently pacing slightly behind Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania and The Winter Soldier internationally, and it’s looking like the movie will top out at about $450M worldwide.”
You have to be kidding me here, right? Quantumania was at 196mil internationally its 2nd weekend vs Brave New World at 148Mil internationally. Worldwide Quantumania was at $364mil vs Brave New World at $290 mil.
That is a worldwide difference of $75mil.
Like or hate the movie, no way this movie gets to $450mil. Will have a hard time getting over $400mil
“Bridget Jones” is a wonderful film.
wow Mufasa is turning into quite a hit. From domestic $35 million domestic opening to potentially $720 million when it’s all set and done.
Marvel used to be nearer the 50-47% that’s the average drop for most films as recently as Guardians 3. The 60%+ range is usually for huge openings like Spidey, and even Infinity War only dropped 55% after a huge opening (Black Panther only 44%). The films just aren’t strong enough or opening big enough to generate the kind of WOM holds their budgets need.
$450M is great. The MCU and superhero films have reached a low point for solo films right now, and thankfully the budget was low.
The budget was not as low as reported, and they are not making it to $450M.
Wishful thinking.
(….on your part.
It WILL break even and do just fine for Disney on VOD and Streaming)
Break even when the marketing budget itself was $100 million at least. It’s a very long walk to profitability. The movie original budget was $180 million, with reshots, it must be at least $200 million. It need $550 million to $600 million for being profitable.