South Korean President, Park Geun-hye, was impeached from the National Assembly on
9th December 2016. This impeachment had caused political instability, resulting in …

We add to the literature on citizen forecasting by examining the 2013 German federal election
and, for the first time, trying to predict vote shares. A random sample of voters was asked to …

This study investigates whether investors react to signals of an association between a firm
and Donald Trump indicated by tweets containing both words ‘Trump’(or ‘@ realDonaldTrump’…

This dissertation uses a total of 300 days of political polling data and 1,981 days of Intrade.
com market data to evaluate the relative accuracy of Intrade’s predictions for the 2004 and …

Do participants in the economy have different expectations about the economic preferences
of different types of political candidates? If so, do workers and investors react to changes in …

I investigate how political uncertainty influences corporate investment decisions employinga
unique panel dataset of German manufacturing firms. I use data on firms’ self-…

Rational partisan theory's exclusive focus on electoral uncertainty ignores the importance of
policy uncertainty for the economy. I develop a theory of policy risk to account for this …

A sample of eleven Asia countries’ Morgan Stanley Capital International Incorporation (MSCI)
index was collected from year 1972 to year 2010. The results of cumulative abnormal …

… If the president does not organize policy to achieve those ends, such as appears to be
true for the current administration, the presidential election stock market fluctuations may not …

With the development of social media in all over the world, some researchers have tried to
predict indexes of economy and society with the social media data. And this method has been …