Recently, the problem of uncertainty has received intensified attention from international
relations theorists. However, there are three gaps in the literature so far. First, the existing …

Uncertainty is pervasive in international politics. This uncertainty can have many sources.
Each source has different origins and implications for the likelihood of conflict. Existing …

Recent studies of uncertainty in international relations treat nation-states as unitary actors,
but it may be more realistic to suppose that uncertainty also arises from domestic decision …

The force of uncertainty is central to every major research tradition in the study of
international relations. Yet uncertainty has multiple meanings, and each paradigm has a …

Uncertainty surrounds every major decision in international politics. Yet there is almost
always room for reasonable people to disagree about what that uncertainty entails. No one …

Trade policy uncertainty (TPU) has become an important source of economic uncertainty
and research. We review the main sources and measures of TPU. We then provide a …

Actor-level variations in the amounts of uncertainty have been widely ignored in the growing
literature on statistical models of strategic interaction in international relations. In this article, I …

" Domestic politics matters" has become a rallying cry for international relations scholars
over the past decade, yet the question still remains: Just how does it matter? In this book …

International Relations (ir) theory grants a privileged place to uncertainty. In practice,
however, the problem does not seem to be uncertainty but certainty: if only the decision …

International cooperation is plagued by uncertainty. Although states negotiate the best
agreements possible using available information, unpredictable things happen after …