More than any other period in the history of Tanzania since the introduction of multipartism in
1992, opinion polls for the 2010 general elections were highly disputed by stakeholders on …

This study examines the influence of 9/11, the Iraq War, the economy, and the coalition-of-
minorities on presidential approval of GW Bush across partisan subgroups and aggregate …

Abstract American popular and Electoral College presidential elections are forecast for 2020
and 2024, employing auto‐regressive time series and cross‐section probit models …

Abstract Background The Taiwan CDC relied on the historical average number of disease
cases or rate (AVG) to depict the trend of epidemic diseases in Taiwan. By comparing the …

This paper analyzes changes in US equity values around the 2004 presidential election. At
4: 00 PM on November 2, trading in George Bush's victory contract on Tradesports. com …

Using data for the 50 US states for presidential elections from 1972 to 2004 two theories for
determining state voting outcomes are considered jointly: the 'economy matters' and 'home …

County-level data are used to estimate the incumbent-party share of the two-party vote in the
2012 and the 2016 US Presidential elections. Using a 'seemingly unrelated …

The 2013 opinion polls for the general elections in Kenya were discredited by politicians,
academics and the general public as partisan. This was despite the enactment of the …

This article analyses the 2016 primary vote for Donald Trump in Texas. Much of Trump's
campaign rhetoric has been anti-immigrant. A major Trump campaign theme was his …

Prediction markets have been adopted to forecast events (trends) and manage risks related
to the events in different projects. This paper scrutinises the first prediction market system …