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Altera Corporation (ALTR): Trading channel possibilities

The user-programmable integrated circuit allows electronics manufacturers to fine-tune its properties to suit themselves. Such devices were pioneered in 1984, by a San Jose, California outfit that still sells a lot of them.

Altera Corporation (NASDAQ: ALTR) makes high-density programmable logic devices and associated development tools. PLDs are integrated circuits that clients can program themselves, using software that Altera also provides. This allows clients to provide their customers with special-purpose chips that cost less than equivalent custom-designed devices. Altera's circuits are used by thousands of customers in computing, telecommunications, industrial, and automotive applications. Clients include Honeywell (NYSE: HON), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI) and Motorola (NYSE: MOT).

The stock has been a steady gainer, since mid-August, moving higher in response to such issues as solid third quarter revenue guidance ($319.7-329.3M vs. $325.1M consensus) and last week's upgrade to overweight by Morgan Stanley. In fact, the price is cycling through a positive eight-week trading channel.

Continue reading Altera Corporation (ALTR): Trading channel possibilities

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Bear Stearns deal would fix Dow's weak link

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer believes that if this chatter proves true, this major index could rocket to his target for it.

If the Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) (Cramer's Take) chatter is true -- that Warren Buffett, among others, could buy a stake in the broker -- we could quickly blow through Dow 14,000.

I say that because the weak link in the Dow is the financials. You get Citigroup (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take) up through the $50s, JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) (Cramer's Take) to the $50s and AIG (NYSE: AIG) (Cramer's Take) to the $70s -- all of which would happen if the financials ignite -- and you can be within spitting distance of my 14,548 target. Don't forget that American Express (NYSE: AXP) (Cramer's Take) could ramp on that move, too.

Take a look at that Dow. It is overweighted in finance vs. resources. So you need that group to work to get to 14,500. A Buffet stake would say this: "The group's woes are way overdone and it is time to scoop these up." Nobody will think twice about it.

I am adamant that we are headed to 14,500, which isn't that far off now. I thought it would come from Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) (Cramer's Take) and Honeywell (NYSE: HON) (Cramer's Take) and Boeing (NYSE: BA) (Cramer's Take), but they are stalled out.

This would be huge!

And if it happens, it will cause a panic to the upside.

Very high stakes. But Landon Thomas, the reporter at The New York Times who broke the story, is real good. I trust that he would not have run this without really having the story.

Big scoop.

Great for the financials.

RELATED LINKS:

Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. At the time of publication, Cramer was long Citigroup, AIG and Caterpillar.

Synopsys (SNPS): Design software for the chip industry

Synopsys Inc. (NASDAQ: SNPS) is a leading provider of electronic design automation software for semiconductors. The company delivers system design and verification platforms, IC manufacturing and yield optimization solutions, semiconductor intellectual property, and design services to customers in the chip, electronics and aerospace industries. Synopsys products address such complex issues as power management, accelerated time to yield, and system-to-silicon verification. The firm has strategic alliances with Honeywell (NYSE: HON), IBM (NYSE: IBM) and Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN).

Investors were pleased last week, when the company reported fiscal Q3 EPS of 32 cents and revenues of $304.1 million. Analysts had been expecting 30 cents and $300.6 million. Management also guided Q4 EPS to 34-37 cents (35 cent consensus) and Q4 revenues to $300-$310 million ($308.61M consensus). Shares popped above 50-day, 200-day and 90-day moving average resistance on the news and then moved into a bullish "flag" consolidation pattern. Prices frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling when they entered them. In this case, that would be to the upside.

Brokers recommend the stock with two "strong buys," two "buys" and seven "holds." Analysts see a 19% growth rate, through the next year. The SNPS Price to Book ratio (2.98), Price to Free Cash Flow ratio (15.48) and EPS Growth rate (190.91%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutional investors hold about 87% of the outstanding shares. The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 400 MidCap Index. Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $18.32 and $28.67. A stop-loss of $23.40 looks good here.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com.

Altera Corporation (ALTR): Programmable logic solutions

When you make a product that people need and allow them to save money by fine-tuning its properties to suit themselves, your business is liable to do well. That's the way it has gone for the inventor of the user-programmable integrated circuit.

Altera Corporation (NASDAQ: ALTR) sells high-density programmable logic devices and associated development tools. PLDs are integrated circuits that clients can program themselves. This allows them to provide their customers with special-purpose chips that cost less than equivalent custom-designed devices. Altera's circuits reach end users in a wide variety of computing, telecommunications, industrial and automotive products. Clients include Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU), Honeywell (NYSE: HON), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI), Motorola (NYSE: MOT), Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) and Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN). For the second year in a row, Altera has been named to the Business Week Hot 100.

The company pleased investors late last month, when it announced Q2 EPS of 22 cents and revenues of $319.7 million. Analysts had been looking for 19 cents and $313.2 million. Management also guided Q3 revenues to $320-329 million ($322.60M consensus).

Continue reading Altera Corporation (ALTR): Programmable logic solutions

Conglomerates are back! Has anything changed?

According to the Sunday New York Times, conglomerates are back. Companies like ITT Corp. (NYSE: ITT) and Textron Inc. (NYSE: TXT) are trading near multi-year highs. William Holstein writes:

To some extent, the new conglomerates have simply become lucky. They are riding a global infrastructure spending boom for airports and airlines, power systems, waste water and environmental projects, and hospitals and health care systems, not to mention record government spending on military projects and security surveillance. Their ability to assemble product offerings from different industries is a source of strength, they say.

While I'd be extremely skeptical if someone referred to the recent strength of conglomerates as some sort of new paradigm, it really may be different this time. The conglomerate boom of the 1960s and 1970s ended in disaster for many of the high-fliers, but changes have been made. Private equity firms have employed a conglomerate-like model to generate huge returns for their investors, and smarter management and more competent deal-making is leading to better-crafted hodgepodges of divergent businesses.

Honeywell International (NYSE: HON) CEO David Cote is also quoted in the Times piece: "When you look back at the history, the companies were put together without any real integration. They were really just holding companies. They didn't try to do anything to make the businesses better."

The old-time model of hyping the stock of a conglomerate and using it to acquire companies at a lower price/earnings multiple is no longer in vogue, mercifully.

For an interesting, although not entirely enjoyable, look at the history of the conglomerate business model, pick up a copy of The Rise and Fall of the Conglomerate Kings by Robert Sobel.

Cramer wants Honeywell in his hive

On today's STOP TRADING! segment on CNBC, Jim Cramer was at least happier today than last week since the market stabilized. Cramer said he'd like and would buy Honeywell International (NYSE: HON) as one that belongs in the same league as Boeing (NYSE: BA). He likes that it blew out numbers last week and likes it even more because it is buying more stock than anyone else. Cramer said he would prefer to see more dividend hikes as long-term signals of conviction.

Honeywell is one of the manufacturing conglomerates with diversified operations in many areas of the economy that is within 4% of its 52-week highs and trades at premium multiples to other DJIA components. On top of its ability or desire to repurchase shares, it still also has many opportunities to prune down its portfolio and focus on core operations. It's up to the company as to what its strategy will be going forward, particularly as the conglomerate has so many areas it operates in. It has recovered from some of its old woes and we'll have to see if it can hold that premium P/E multiple compared to peers.

Honeywell earnings: Does well, driven by aerospace and automation

A few companies will have break-out quarters this season, and it appears that Honeywell (NYSE: HON) has made the list. Net sales rose to over $8.5 billion from from $7.9 billion last year. Net income rose from $521 million to $611 million.

The company also increased its previously stated 2007 sales guidance to $33.9 billion and its earnings per share range to $3.10-3.16

Honeywell's improving fortunes were lead by the aerospace division. The company's defense and space segments picked up new government contracts. This growth was buttressed by improvements in the automation segment, which includes home security company ADI.

Honeywell's EPS of $0.78 beat the Reuters consensus of $0.76.

The Honeywell numbers are a good indication that the industrial and automation portion of the economy is in fine shape and that financial companies and tech firms are not the only hope for the economy remaining in good shape.

Based on early trading, shares in Honeywell will probably hit a new 52-week high today.

The company is even based in New Jersey.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

Option update 7-11-07: Honeywell volatility elevated

Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE: HON) -- implied volatility Elevated as traders purchase premium into EPS. HON is recently up 35 cents to $58.17. HON will report EPS before the open on 7/19. HON has four business groups: Aerospace, Automation & Control Solutions, Specialty Materials and Transportation Systems. HON July option implied volatility of 23 is above its 26-week average of 21 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) -- July calls active on renewed take-over chatter. S, an operator of a wireless network serving 53.6 million customers, is recently up $0.63 to $22.03 on renewed and unconfirmed takeover chatter. S call option volume of 12,196 contracts compares to put volume of 198 contracts. S overall option implied volatility of 30 is near its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional risks.

Whole Foods Market, Inc. (NASDAQ: WFMI) -- calls active on Flat volatility on unconfirmed takeover chatter.

Option volume leaders today are: Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE), AK Steel Holding Corp. (NYSE: AKS) and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL).

Daily Option Update is provided by Stock Options Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

MSC Industrial Direct: Industrial supplies right here, right now

When you are in the industrial supply business, the competition is ubiquitous and differentiating yourself presents a particular challenge. There is a firm in in Melville, New York that solves the problem by stocking over a half a million products and guaranteeing same day shipment.

MSC Industrial Direct Co. (NYSE: MSM) markets a range of industrial products that includes cutting tools, measuring instruments, tooling components, fasteners, plumbing supplies, electrical supplies, flat stock, raw materials, abrasives, hand tools and power tools. Suppliers include 3M (NYSE: MMM), Black & Decker (NYSE: BDK), Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW), Eaton Corporation (NYSE: ETN), Goodyear Tire & Rubber (NYSE: GT), Honeywell International (NYSE: HON) and Kimberly-Clark (NYSE: KMB). The company serves nearly 350,000 customers, via a master catalog, supplemental publications, telemarketing and the internet.

The firm surprised the Street late last month, when it reported solid Q3 numbers and guided Q4 estimates above consensus Street views. The share price popped on the news and has since been consolidating the gain in a bullish "pennant" pattern. Prices frequently exit pennants moving in the same direction they were traveling when they entered them. In this case, that would be to the upside.

Brokers recommend the issue with four "strong buys," three "buys," one "hold" and one "sell." Analysts see an 18% average annual growth rate, through the next five years. The MSM Sales Growth rate (32.27%), EPS Growth rate (26.00%), Return on Assets (17.72%), Return on Investment (20.86%) and Return on Equity (15.57%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutions own about 69% of the outstanding shares. The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 400 MidCap Index. Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $37.23 and $56.91. A stop-loss of $49.75 looks good here.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com.

Before the bell 7-2-07: AAPL, AMZN, GM, YHOO, F ...

Main market news here.

If many in the market expected a 'sell on the news' with Apple Inc. (NADSAQ: AAPL) shares, their expectations are not coming to fruition and Apple stock isn't showing any weakness in pre-market trading after a weekend debut for its much anticipated and hyped iPhone. AAPL shares are up 1% as of 8:00 a.m. ET, after analysts have estimated Apple sold over half a million iPhones over the weekend. Some analysts feel the sales over the weekend are a good sign for future sales, some don't think that way.
Meanwhile, Universal Music Group has declined to sign a long-term deal with Apple's iTunes music store.

First half best Dow performers: Alcoa (NYSE: AA) 31%, Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) 29%, Honeywell (NYSE: HON) 25%, General Motors (NYSE: GM) 24% and Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) 18%.
First half worst Dow performers: Citigroup (NYSE: C) -7%, Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) -7%, Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) -4.5%.
S&P 500 best: Radioshack (NYSE: RSH) 101%, Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) 75%.
S&P 500 worst: Pulte Homes (NYSE: PHM) -31%.

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) will begin selling high-definition independent films in the HD DVD format through its on-demand DVD printing service.

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) sold it British 42-story tower headquarter to a British real-estate consortium for about $2 billion in the second-biggest property transaction ever in Britain.

After reports surfaced the past few days that two government funds in the United Arab Emirates are interested in the Jaguar and Land Rover, the British luxury car brands of Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), today they are denying they are looking into acquiring the brands.

General Motors
Corp. (NYSE: GM) today inaugurated a new engine plant at its minicar factory SAIC-GM-Wuling Automobile Co. in southern China.

There are new rules in effect in New York City that not only ban the use on trans fats, but also require restaurants to display calories on the menu. Many eateries are slow to comply.
Meanwhile, McDonald's Corp (NYSE: MCD) will convert its British delivery fleet to run on biodiesel made from its own recycled cooking oil.

Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) will announce new tools for online advertising today that may push it ahead in the race as this tool could better tailor online advertisements to the people most likely to buy.

Before the bell 6-25-07: CVX, GE, JNY, WAG ...

Main market news here.

Jones Apparel Group Inc. (NYSE: JNY) announced at the close on Friday that it has entered into a definitive agreement to sell Barneys New York to an affiliate of Dubai-based investment firm Istithmar for $825 million, double what it paid for the chain in December 2004. JNY already closed up 1.5% on Friday in anticipation of the announcement.

Chevron Corp (NYSE: CVX) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America Securities, on its deepwater growth strategy. The broker also said Chevron is the prime beneficiary of the favorable crude pricing. As of 7:34 am, the stock ticked up 0.1%.

That's it, we're in the final stretch. Apple Inc.'s (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone will be released Friday, in five days. Consumers and the industry await the "revolutionary" phone, and every shareholder hopes it doesn't disappoint. TheStreet.com's Scott Moritz did the math: With 1,962 Apple and AT&T (NYSE: T) stores and the rumored 200 phones per store, Apple could potentially sell 392,000 iPhones, which at $550 (averaging the more expensive $599 and the less expensive $499), Apple might take in $216 million in revenue on the evening of June 29. Not including online sales.

Following the Paris AirShow
where the aerospace industry showed strength, Deutsche Bank raised the price targets of General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) to $44 from $43, United Technologies Corp. (NYSE: UTX) to $79 from $77 and Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE: HON) $59 from $57.
Meanwhile, GE's Universal "Evan Almighty," had what some called a solid debut with $32.1 million ticket sales over the weekend, while others called it a disappointing one, especially since it was less than half the $68 million opening of its "Bruce Almighty," not to mention being the most expensive comedy ever made at a cost of $175 million.

Walgreen Co. (NYSE: WAG) reported fiscal third-quarter results this morning. The company reported earnings of 56 cents per share, beating Wall Street estimate, which according to Thomson Financial were 54 cents per share. Sales growth also matched expectations. This despite Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) offering drugs at deep discount. Same-store sales grew 7.8%. Shares are up 1.2% in pre-market trading (8:10 am).

JMP Securities upped Google Inc.'s (NASDAQ: GOOG) target price from $580 to $625.

Serious Money: Whittling away at the Dow - GM, HPQ, HD, HON, & INTC: Part 4

Fifteen stocks have been reviewed, fifteen to go to complete the Dow Jones Industrials whittling. Of the first fifteen, five will be looked at again as possible value plays: Alcoa Aluminum (NYSE: AA), American International Group (NYSE: AIG), Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT), Disney (Walt) Company (NYSE: DIS) and Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) . You can link to Part 1 of this series or Part 2 or Part 3 if you want to catch up. Comments are always welcome; on to the next five...

General Motors (NYSE: GM) has practically returned from the dead rising about 100% from it's lows 18 months ago, and it was the number one performing Dow stock last year. That's wonderful for shareholders and the UAW and the managers that steered the ship. Looking at it today as a stock investment I think it would take too much speculation to be an investor. I have no idea whether GM will produce some great car designs that will be appealing to future customers or whether they will effectively compete in the marketplace against worthy alternatives. I have no idea what will happen in UAW contract negotiations. When I look at the metrics it is a mess. All I can say is that for me GM stands for "Giant Mystery," and let others wiser than I support the shares.


Continue reading Serious Money: Whittling away at the Dow - GM, HPQ, HD, HON, & INTC: Part 4

Brady Corporation: Got your ID badge right here

Enterprise security and health and safety issues are bigger than ever and that pertains even to such prosaic items as wall signs, ID badges and warning labels. A leading provider of such goods is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Brady Corporation (NYSE: BRC) provides products that identify and protect premises, products and people. Offerings include high-performance labels and signs, badges, printing systems and software, label-application and data-collection systems, safety devices, lockout/tagout products and precision die-cut components. The firm also manufactures specialty tapes and related products that are characterized by high-performance adhesives. Clients include Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT), Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA), ConAgra Foods (NYSE: CAG), Honeywell International (NYSE: HON), Marriott International (NYSE: MAR), Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) and Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM).

Continue reading Brady Corporation: Got your ID badge right here

Maybe Cramer isn't throwing darts afterall

Jim Cramer came on CNBC's Mad Money tonight and continued his "individual price targets for individual DJIA components." He is using these to justify his 'next 1,000 point' move that is coming on DJIA, but tonight's list was much less robust. In fact, he even panned a few DJIA components.

On Tuesday evening, Cramer was mostly positive on his second list of DJIA components, but he was very positive on Monday night's list where it almost seemed like Cramer was going to just issue bullish targets on every DJIA component.

If you read the post from yesterday, you'll notice that I thought Cramer was perhaps throwing darts at the dartboard to come up with a target for every DJIA component. The short interest from the DJIA components has gotten so high for May that some of Cramer's wild price targets could maybe be hit by the short covering alone if the shorts decide they can't take it anymore. Fortunately, Cramer isn't acting like a dart thrower on all of them.

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Perini: Handling big construction

When you want to build a house, you look in the phone book for a local contractor. When you want to build a stylish facility, the list of firms that can help you is a short one. There is a 113-year old outfit in Framingham, Massachusetts that invariably occupies a position near the top of the list.

Perini Corporation (NYSE: PCR) is a leading construction services company offering diversified general contracting, construction management and design/build services to private clients and public agencies worldwide. The firm is well known for its casino and hotel projects, but is also active in the design and construction of schools, health care facilities, entertainment facilities and sports complexes. Its civil division builds and maintains highways, subways, and airports. Clients include Harrah's Entertainment (NYSE: HET), Hilton Hotels (NYSE: HLT), Marriott International (NYSE: MAR), Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD), Honeywell International (NYSE: HON), American Express (NYSE: AXP) and Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU).

The company surprised the Street earlier in the month, when it reported Q1 EPS of 84 cents and revenues of $987.4 million. Analysts had been expecting 58 cents and $947.2 million. Management also guided FY07 EPS to $2.40-2.60 ($2.17 consensus) and FY07 revenues to $4.0-4.2 billion ($3.98B consensus). The COO cited a near-record backlog of $8.6 billion for the favorable outlook.

Continue reading Perini: Handling big construction

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-63.5714,015.12
NASDAQ-39.412,772.20
S&P; 500-8.061,554.41

Last updated: October 11, 2007: 04:26 PM

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