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Foreclosures double again, another wave is coming - BloggingStocks
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Foreclosures double again, another wave is coming

September 2007 foreclosure filings doubled over foreclosure filings in September 2006 - from 223,538 to 112,210, according to RealtyTrac. There was some good news though. The number of filings were less than August's record-breaking month of 243,947. But don't get too excited, according to Bloomberg's report this morning. Rick Shanga, executive vice president of marketing at RealtyTrac, told the news service that, "This wave ends in December and another wave starts in May."

Basically what's happening is that as people's teaser rate mortgages reset with payments 50% to 100% higher than they were paying, they can no longer afford to pay the loan. In the past, people in this situation could sell their homes rather than let it go to foreclosure. But now that the real estate bubble has burst, they just can't find buyers for their homes.

By December, most of the resets for people who took their loans in 2005 will wind down and we'll see foreclosures subside, but it's not over yet.

Unfortunately for the folks who took these teaser rate and other types of risky mortgage loans, the worst is not over yet . The number of people who lose their homes will keep increasing. Right now the rate is one in every 557 households nationwide. Nevada has the highest rate -- one in every 185 households. The situation will not improve until the real estate market turns around and people can sell their homes rather than let them go to foreclosure if they can't afford to make the newly reset mortgage payment.

Some banks are easing the pain with 40 and 50-year mortgages, but those only help if your house is still worth more than your mortgage. Many of the people caught in this mortgage mess find that their home is worth less than the amount they owe and no one will lend them money.

Lita Epstein is the author of more than 20 books including, "The 250 Questions You Should Ask to Avoid Foreclosure."

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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

Christiane1

10-12-2007 @ 9:44AM

Christiane said...

Lita, you are correct about the second wave of foreclosures coming. The Atlanta Business Chronicle's headline this week was "Banks must unload 12,000 houses". While the Atlanta market has not suffered as much as other areas of the country, for example, FL, southern CA, Las Vegas, and Phoenix, it will certainly take a long time to digest this inventory...and with another phase coming it can only be more challenging to sell your home.

Our company, HouseBuyerNetwork.com, has a huge increase in the number of motivated sellers nationwide. Many of these homeowners are desperately trying to avoid foreclosure. The fallout from the fraud will only increase. It will take a Herculean effort to sort through it all.

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Lita Epstein2

10-15-2007 @ 8:05AM

Lita Epstein said...

Gayla,

I hope the folks who are taking such a stubborn stance realize they are ruining their credit for many years to come. A foreclosure stays on your credit report for seven years and can make it very difficult to get a mortgage again any time soon.

Lita

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gayla3

10-15-2007 @ 8:06AM

gayla said...

Goodness, I sure wish there were banks that must sell houses, or people desperate to sell here in Kansas City. They still seem to think they are immune to any housing slump, in fact we've had people flat out tell us that they will let the home go back before they'll take less than the full asking price!

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Richard4

10-16-2007 @ 6:21AM

Richard said...

Why do you say that the foreclosures will subside simply because people didn't get a mortgage in 2005? The prices were still just as high in 2006 and the peak of resets is not until march '08, with huge reset amounts continuing through the whole of 2008. Typically foreclosures don't happen until 4 months after the reset. Therefore we'll see foreclosure rates rising all the way until 2009. Which is scary since we're already at historical highs.

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Michael Moran5

10-17-2007 @ 8:26PM

Michael Moran said...

Link to the Orlando, Florida market, per local MLS. It shows month by month 4 year history and helps see the state of the market.
http://www.mfrmlshelpdesk.com/pdf_files/stats/4YrBoardStatHistory_ORRA.pdf

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Last updated: November 30, 2007: 01:26 AM

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