Predictions have been updated as of 10/15/20
PICTURE
- The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
- Nomadland (Searchlight; TIFF, Venice)
- Mank (Netflix)
- Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros.)
- News of the World (Universal)
- One Night in Miami… (Amazon)
- Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
- The Father (Sony Pictures Classics)
- The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Paramount Pictures)
- Da 5 Bloods (Netlix)
Just outside: Minari (A24), Hillbilly Elegy (Netflix), Respect (United Artists)
DIRECTOR
- David Fincher (Mank)
- Chloe Zhao (Nomadland)
- Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
- Regina King (One Night in Miami…)
- Paul Greengrass (News of the World)
Just outside: Shaka King (Judas and the Black Messiah), George C. Wolfe (Ma Rainey’s Wet Bottom), Florian Zeller (The Father)
LEAD ACTOR
- Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)
- Gary Oldman (Mank)
- Anthony Hopkins (The Father)
- Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods)
- Steven Yeun (Minari)
Just outside: Tom Hanks (News of the World), Tom Holland (Cherry), Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)
LEAD ACTRESS
- Amy Adams (Hillbilly Elegy)
- Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of Woman)
- Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
- Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
- Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)
Just outside: Andra Day (The United States vs Billie Holiday), Michelle Pfeiffer (French Exit), Jennifer Hudson (Respect)
SUPPORTING ACTOR
- Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
- LaKeith Stanfield (Judas and the Black Messiah)
- David Strathairn (Nomadland)
- Bill Murray (On the Rocks)
- Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
Just outside: Leslie Odom Jr (One Night in Miami…), Shia LaBeouf (Pieces of a Woman), Stanley Tucci (Supernova)
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy)
- Olivia Colman (The Father)
- Helena Zengel (News of the World)
- Amanda Seyfried (Mank)
- Saoirse Ronan (Ammonite)
Just outside: Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman), Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari), Meryl Streep (The Prom)
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
- Chloe Zhao (Nomadland)
- Kemp Powers (One Night in Miami…)
- Ruben Santiago-Hudson (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
- Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller (The Father)
- Luke Davies and Paul Greengrass (News of the World)
Just outside: Suzan-Lori Parks (The United States vs Billie Holiday), Vanessa Taylor (Hillbilly Elegy), Charlie Kaufman (I’m Thinking of Ending Things)
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
- Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
- Jack Fincher (Mank)
- Will Berson, Shaka King, Keith Lucas, and Kenny Lucas (Judas and the Black Messiah)
- Pete Docter, Mike Jones, and Kemp Powers (Soul)
- Lee Isaac Chung (Minari)
Just outside: Spike Lee (Da 5 Bloods), Sofia Coppola (One the Rocks), Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman)
