Liberal Democrat target seats
If the Liberal Democrats under Nick Clegg hope to improve on their performance at the last general election in 2005, the 30 seats highlighted in the map and in the list below are those easiest for them to gain.They are the seats the Liberal Democrats would win if there were a 5% shift in votes from the holding party to the Liberal Democrats.
The list is based on "notional" results, which provide an estimate of the 2005 election outcome, had recent constituency boundary changes been in force then.
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Liberal Democrat target seats (ordered by vulnerability)
2005 Results | 2010 Results | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Constituency | 2005 Majority | 2005 Party | 2010 Party | New majority | |
1 | Guildford | 0.2% | CON | CON | 14.0% | |
2 | Solihull | 0.2% | CON | LD | 0.3% | |
3 | Rochdale | 0.3% | LAB | LAB | 1.9% | |
4 | Oxford East | 0.7% | LAB | LAB | 8.9% | |
5 | Edinburgh South | 0.9% | LAB | LAB | 0.7% | |
6 | Hampstead & Kilburn | 1.1% | LAB | LAB | 0.1% | |
7 | Eastbourne | 1.4% | CON | LD | 6.6% | |
8 | Islington South & Finsbury | 1.6% | LAB | LAB | 8.2% | |
9 | Watford | 2.3% | LAB | CON | 2.6% | |
10 | Ealing Central & Acton | 2.2% | LAB | CON | 7.9% | |
11 | Aberdeen South | 3.2% | LAB | LAB | 8.1% | |
12 | Weston-Super-Mare | 4.3% | CON | CON | 5.1% | |
13 | Ludlow | 4.4% | CON | CON | 20.0% | |
14 | Dorset West | 4.6% | CON | CON | 6.8% | |
15 | Meon Valley | 4.9% | CON | CON | 23.7% | |
16 | Devon Central | 5% | CON | CON | 17.1% | |
17 | Edinburgh North & Leith | 5% | LAB | LAB | 3.6% | |
18 | Devon West & Torridge | 5.4% | CON | CON | 5.4% | |
19 | Wells | 5.7% | CON | LD | 1.4% | |
20 | Totnes | 5.8% | CON | CON | 10.3% | |
21 | Worcestershire West | 6% | CON | CON | 12.6% | |
22 | Newbury | 6.4% | CON | CON | 20.9% | |
23 | Durham, City of | 7.4% | LAB | LAB | 6.6% | |
24 | Norwich South | 7.4% | LAB | LD | 0.7% | |
25 | Bournemouth West | 7.6% | CON | CON | 13.4% | |
26 | Harborough | 8.4% | CON | CON | 18.0% | |
27 | Dorset North | 8.6% | CON | CON | 14.1% | |
28 | Leicester South | 8.8% | LAB | LAB | 18.7% | |
29 | Liverpool Wavertree | 8.9% | LAB | LAB | 18.9% | |
30 | Chelmsford | 9.2% | CON | CON | 9.4% |