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| style="background:{{Welsh Labour/meta/color}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 4.8%
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== Seat predictions ==
Most polls are reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters do not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons. Other organisations including [[Electoral Calculus]] make rolling projections based on an aggregate of publicly available polls.

{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;"
! rowspan="2" | Pollster/client(s)
! rowspan="2" | Date(s)<br>conducted
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Conservative Party (UK)|Con]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Labour Party (UK)|Lab]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Scottish National Party|SNP]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Lib Dem]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Plaid Cymru]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Green parties in the United Kingdom (disambiguation)|Green]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Brexit Party|Brexit]]
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" | Other
! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number" | Majority
|-
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{Labour Party (UK)/meta/color}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{Scottish National Party/meta/color}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{Plaid Cymru/meta/color}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{Brexit Party/meta/color}};" |
|<ref>https://flavible.co.uk/projections/1555</ref>
|07-09 April 2020
|style="background:#BADEF5;" |'''443'''
|131
|54
|0
|3
|1
|0
| style="background:{{Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 207
|}
|}


Revision as of 20:18, 15 April 2020

2015 general election • Opinion polls
2017 general election • Opinion polls
2019 general election • Opinion polls
Next general election • Opinion polls

In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 12 December 2019, to the present day. Under current fixed-term legislation, the next general election is scheduled to be held in May 2024,[1] though the government has pledged to repeal this law.[2]

Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, since its major political parties are different to those in the rest of the United Kingdom.

Graphical summary

Template:Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

National poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.

The parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2019 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Other" column.

2020

For events during the year, see 2020 in the United Kingdom.
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Area Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru Green Brexit Other Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color;"| data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;" |
Opinium The Observer 7–9 Apr GB 2,005 55% 29% 5% 5% 0% 4% 0% 2%[a] style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 26%
BMG The Independent 7–9 Apr GB 1,541 46% 29% 10% 3% 1% 6% 2% 2%[a] style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 17%
BMG The Independent 3–6 Apr GB 1,498 45% 28% 11% 3% 1% 6% 3% 2%[a] style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 17%
4 Apr Keir Starmer is elected leader of the Labour Party
Opinium The Observer 1–3 Apr GB 2,000 53% 30% 7% 5% 1% 3% 0% 2%[a] style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 23%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1–2 Apr UK 2,000 49% 29% 8% 4% 1% 4% – 5% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 20%
YouGov The Times 1–2 Apr GB 1,631 52% 28% 8% 5% 1% 5% 1% 1% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 24%
Opinium The Observer 26–27 Mar GB 2,006 54% 28% 6% 5% 1% 3% 0% 1% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 26%
Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg 24–26 Mar GB 1,010 54% 28% 7% 4% 0% 4% 2% 0% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 26%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 23 Mar GB 1,500 47% 29% 8% 5% 1% 5% – 5% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 18%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 13–16 Mar GB 1,003 52% 30% 9% 4% 1% 4% 0% 0% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 22%
13 Mar 2020 local elections delayed to 2021 due to the coronavirus pandemic[3]
Opinium The Observer 12–13 Mar GB 2,005 49% 32% 6% 5% 1% 5% 0% 1% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 17%
Kantar Public N/A 5–9 Mar GB 1,171 50% 29% 11% 4% 1% 2% 1% 2%[a] style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 21%
BMG The Independent 3–6 Mar GB 1,498 45% 28% 11% 3% 1% 6% 3% 2%[a] style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 17%
SavantaComRes Sunday Express 19–20 Feb GB 2,005 47% 31% 9% 4% 1% 4% 3% <1% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 16%
Opinium The Observer 12–14 Feb GB 2,007 47% 32% 7% 6% 1% 4% 2% 1% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 12 Feb GB 1,216 49% 31% 9% 4% 1% 4% – 2% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 18%
YouGov The Times 9–10 Feb GB 1,694 48% 28% 10% 4% 1% 6% 2% 1% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 20%
BMG The Independent 4–7 Feb GB 1,503 41% 29% 11% 5% 1% 8% 3% 3%[b] style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" | 12%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 31 Jan–3 Feb GB 1,001 47% 30% 11% 4% 1% 5% 1% 1% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17%
YouGov The Times 31 Jan–2 Feb GB 1,575 49% 30% 8% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19%
31 Jan The United Kingdom leaves the European Union
Survation N/A 30–31 Jan UK 1,015 44% 33% 10% 5% 0% 3% 3% 2% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11%
YouGov The Times 24–26 Jan GB 1,628 49% 29% 10% 5% 1% 4% 2% 0% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20%
Opinium The Observer 15–17 Jan GB 1,978 47% 30% 9% 5% 1% 4% 3% 2% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17%
BMG The Independent 8–10 Jan GB 1,508 44% 29% 11% 3% 0% 5% 4% 2%[b] style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 UK – 43.6% 32.1% 11.5% 3.9% 0.5% 2.7% 2.0% 4.2% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.5%
GB 44.7% 32.9% 11.8% 4.0% 0.5% 2.8% 2.1% 1.7% style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.7%

Nations and regions polling

London

Pollster Client Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;" |
YouGov Queen Mary University of London 2–6 March 2020 1,002 46% 34% 11% 7% 1% 1% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 48.1% 32% 14.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16.1%

Wales

Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem Brexit Green Other Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Welsh Labour/meta/color;"| data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Welsh Conservatives/meta/color;"| data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color;"| data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Welsh Liberal Democrats/meta/color;"| data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;"| data-sort-type="number" style="background:Template:Wales Green Party/meta/color;"|
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 3–7 Apr 2020 1,008 34% 46% 11% 4% 3% 2% 0% style="background:Template:Welsh Conservatives/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 20–26 Jan 2020 1,037 36% 41% 13% 5% 3% 2% 1% style="background:Template:Welsh Conservatives/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 40.9% 36.1% 9.9% 6.0% 5.4% 1.0% 0.7% style="background:Template:Welsh Labour/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4.8%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f Including 1% for UKIP.
  2. ^ a b Including 2% for UKIP.

References

  1. ^ Tufft, Ben (8 May 2015). "When will the next UK General Election be held?". The Independent. Retrieved 29 December 2019. The act specifies that future elections will be held on the first Thursday of May, every five years.
  2. ^ "Full transcript: The Queen's Speech". The Spectator. 19 December 2019. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  3. ^ https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-51876269
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