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2024 Iranian presidential election - Wikipedia Jump to content

2024 Iranian presidential election

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2024 Iranian presidential election

← 2021 28 June 2024 (first round)
5 July 2024 (second round)
Registered61,452,321
Turnout39.93% (first round) Decrease 8.55pp
49.68% (second round)
 
Nominee Masoud Pezeshkian Saeed Jalili
Party Independent Independent
Alliance Reformists Principlists
Popular vote 16,384,403 13,538,179
Percentage 54.76% 45.24%


President before election

Mohammad Mokhber(acting) first Vice President of Ebrahim Raisi
Independent

Elected President

Masoud Pezeshkian
Independent

Early presidential elections in Iran were held on 28 June and 5 July 2024[1] following the death of incumbent president Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash on 19 May.[2]

Four candidates contested the first round of the election, in which Masoud Pezeshkian won 44%, Saeed Jalili won 40%, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf won 14% and Mostafa Pourmohammadi won less than 1% of the vote. Pezeshkian was the only reformist candidate on the ballot.[3] As no candidate won a majority in the first round, a run off vote was held on 5 July between Jalili and Pezeshkian,[4] which the latter won with 53.7% of the vote. On 6 July 2024, the Ministry of Interior declared Pezeshkian the winner of the election,[5] with Jalili conceding defeat shortly thereafter.[6]

With a 39.93% turnout, the first round of the election saw the lowest participation for a presidential election in the Islamic Republic's history.[7] The turnout improved in the second round to 49.68%. Pezeshkian was seated as president after the ballot certification process was completed. His inauguration was held on 28 July.

Background

[edit]

On 19 May 2024, after Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi inaugurated a hydroelectric complex at the Giz Galasi Reservoir near the Iran-Azerbaijan border, together with the President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev, Raisi departed from the site in a helicopter.[8] The helicopter carrying Raisi and seven other passengers and crew[9] crashed at approximately 13:30 IRST (UTC+03:30) near the village of Uzi in Varzaqan County in East Azerbaijan province.[10][11] Later that day, the wreckage of the helicopter was located,[12] with everyone on board found dead. This led to First Vice President Mohammad Mokhber becoming the acting president according to Article 131 of the Constitution.[13]

Electoral system

[edit]

The president of Iran is usually elected every four years by a "direct vote of the people", as set out by Article 114 of the Iranian Constitution.[13] The upcoming presidential election was scheduled to take place on or before 18 June 2025, but was held earlier due to the death of the president. Under Iran's political system, the President is the country's highest directly elected official, the chief of the executive branch, and the second most important position after that of the Supreme Leader.[14] The minimum voting age is 18.

According to the Islamic Republic of Iran's constitution, any Iranian citizen who believes in Shia Islam, is loyal to the Constitution, the ideology of Guardianship of the Islamic Jurist and the Islamic Republic can participate in the election as a presidential candidate. The Election Monitoring Agency (EMA), managed by the Guardian Council, vets registered candidates and selects a handful to run in the election.[15]

The Guardian Council does not publicly announce the reason for rejections of particular candidates, although those reasons are privately explained to each candidate. Women are not constitutionally restricted from running, but all who have registered as candidates have been disqualified by the Guardian Council.[16][17] The council has officially denied rejecting a woman's candidacy because of her gender.[18]

Candidates approved by the Guardian Council are put to a public vote. The winner is the candidate who receives a majority (50% plus one) of votes. If no candidate receives enough votes, a run-off election is held between the two candidates with the most votes the following Friday.[19] Iranians who vote during the election receive a stamp that indicates so on their birth certificates.[20]

According to the constitution, once the result is known, the Supreme Leader must sign the decree of the elected president, and if he refuses to sign, the elected president will not assume the presidency. As of 2024, Supreme Leaders have always signed the decree of the elected president.[21][22] After that, the elected president must recite and sign an oath in a session of the Islamic Consultative Assembly, in the presence of the members of the Guardian Council and the head of the Supreme Court.[19]

For this election, more than 61 million citizens were eligible to vote, with about 18 million of them between 18 and 30 years old.[23] Voters were required to present identity booklets, passports or smart Iranian identity cards [24] The Ministry of Intelligence warned that presidential nominees were under constant monitoring.[25]

Overseas voting

[edit]

Voting for overseas Iranians was held in 344 locations worldwide.[26][27] In Australia, polling was canceled in Brisbane and Sydney due to protests by the Iranian diaspora.[28] Opponents of the Iranian government, who wanted a boycott of the election, criticized the Biden administration for allowing the installation of voting stations in the United States.[29] Saudi Arabia[30] and Canada refused to grant Iran permission to install overseas ballot boxes,[31] though the decision was later reversed in Saudi Arabia.[32] Voting stations for Canadian voters were instead placed on the US-Canada border.[33]

Dates

[edit]

Following the announcement of Raisi's death on 20 May, authorities announced that voting would be held on 28 June.[1] Registration of candidates began on 30 May and ran until 3 June,[34] while campaigning lasted from 12 June until 27 June.[1]

Candidates

[edit]

The registration to run for the presidency started on 30 May and ended on 3 June. A total of 80 people, including four women, filed their candidacies for president.[35] Most candidates were considered as conservatives or ultra conservatives.[36] The final list of candidates was released by the Guardian Council on 9 June.[37] Per Article 99 of the Constitution, those rejected by the council are not allowed to protest the rejection.[13][38]

Applied

[edit]
Name Born Experience Campaign Ref

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
28 October 1956
(age 68)
Aradan, Iran
Member of the Expediency Discernment Council
(since 2013)
President of Iran
(2005–2013)
Mayor of Tehran
(2003–2005)
Disqualified presidential candidate (2017, 2021)
Party:
Islamic Society of Engineers
Applied:
2 June 2024
[39]

Mehrdad Bazrpash
1980
(age 43–44)
Tehran, Iran
Minister of Roads and Urban Development
(since 2022)
President of the Supreme Audit Court
(2020–2022)
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2012–2016)
Party:
Front of Islamic Revolution Stability
Applied:
3 June 2024
[40]

Zohreh Elahian
1968
(age 55–56)
Kermanshah, Iran
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2008–2012; 2020–2024)
Party:
Society of Pathseekers
Applied:
2 June 2024
[41]

Mohammad Mehdi Esmaili
1975
(age 48–49)
Kabudarahang, Iran
Minister of Culture and Islamic Guidance
(since 2021)
Party:
Independent
Applied:
2 June 2024
[42]

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
23 August 1961
(age 63)
Torqabeh, Iran
Speaker of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(since 2020)
Member of Expediency Discernment Council
(2017–2020)
Mayor of Tehran
(2005–2017)
Presidential candidate (2013, 2017)
Party:
Progress and Justice Population of Islamic Iran
Applied:
3 June 2024
[43]

Vahid Haghanian
6 February 1962
(age 62)
Tehran, Iran
Deputy for Special affairs in the Office of the Supreme Leader. Party:
Independent
Applied:
1 June 2024
[44]

Abdonnaser Hemmati
9 June 1956
(age 68)
Kabudarahang, Iran
Governor of the Central Bank of Iran
(2018–2021)
Ambassador to China
(2018)
Governor of the Central Insurance of Iran
(2016–2018, 1994–2006)
Presidential candidate (2021)
Party:
Executives of Construction Party
Applied:
31 May 2024
[45]

Eshaq Jahangiri
21 January 1958
(age 66)
Sirjan County, Iran
First Vice President of Iran
(2013–2021)
Minister of Industries and Mines
(2001–2005)
Minister of Mines and Metals
(1997–2001)
Governor of Isfahan Province
(1992–1997)
Disqualified presidential candidate (2021)
Party:
Executives of Construction Party
Applied:
3 June 2024
[46]

Saeed Jalili
6 September 1965
(age 59)
Mashhad, Iran
Member of the Expediency Discernment Council
(since 2013)
Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council
(2007–2013)
Chief Nuclear Negotiator
(2007–2013)
Presidential candidate (2013, 2021)
Party:
Independent
Applied:
30 May 2024
[47]

Mostafa Kavakebian
18 March 1963
(age 61)
Semnan, Iran
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2008–2012; 2016–2020)
Disqualified presidential candidate (2005, 2013, 2017)
Party:
Democracy Party
Applied:
30 May 2024
[46]

Sadeq Khalilian
8 August 1959
(age 65)
Ahvaz, Iran
Governor General of Khuzestan
(2021–2022)
Minister of Agriculture
(2009–2013)
Party:
Independent
Applied:
2 June 2024
[48]

Ali Larijani
3 June 1958
(age 66)
Najaf, Iraq
Member of the Expediency Discernment Council
(1997–2008; since 2020)
Speaker of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2008–2020)
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly (2008–2020)
Presidential candidate (2005)
Disqualified presidential candidate (2021)
Party:
Independent
Applied:
31 May 2024
[49]

Mohammad Reza Mirtajodini
16 March 1963
(age 61)
Tabriz, Iran
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2004–2009, 2020–2024)
Vice President of Iran
(2009–2013)
Party:
Independent
Applied:
2 June 2024
[41]

Masoud Pezeshkian
29 September 1954
(age 70)
Mahabad, Iran
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2008–2024)
Ministry of Health and Medical Education
(2001–2005)
Party:
Independent
Applied:
2 June 2024
[41]

Mohammad Reza
Pour Ebrahimi
8 August 1970
(age 54)
Rafsanjan, Iran
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2012–2024)
Party:
Islamic Coalition Party
Applied:
2 June 2024
[50]

Mohammadreza
Sabaghian
1968
(age 55–56)
Bafq, Iran
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(since 2016)
Party:
Independent
Applied:
30 May 2024
[46]

Mahmoud Sadeghi
22 March 1962
(age 62)
Aligudarz, Iran
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2016–2020)
Presidential candidate (2021)
Party:
Islamic Association of University Instructors
Applied:
2 June 2024
[51]

Mohammad Shariatmadari
24 June 1960
(age 64)
Tehran, Iran
Minister of Cooperatives, Labour and Social Welfare
(2018–2021)
Vice President of Iran for Executive Affairs
(2013–2017)
Minister of Commerce
(1997–2005)
Presidential candidate (2013)
Party:
Independent
Applied:
2 June 2024
[52]

Alireza Zakani
3 March 1966
(age 58)
Ray, Iran
Mayor of Tehran
(since 2021)
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2004–2016; 2020–2021)
Presidential candidate (2013, 2017, 2021)
Party:
Society of Pathseekers
Applied:
1 June 2024
[53]
Hamideh Zarabadi 1980 or 1981
(age 43–44)
Qazvin, Iran
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2016–2021)
Party:
Independent
Applied:
3 June 2024
[54]

Masoud Zaribafan
1957
(age 66–67)
Tehran, Iran
Vice President of Iran
(2009–2013)
Cabinet Secretary of Iran
(2005–2006)
Member of the Islamic City Council of Tehran
(2003–2007)
Party:
Society of Devotees of the Islamic Revolution
Applied:
2 June 2024
[55]

Rejected

[edit]

A total of 74 aspirants had their candidacies rejected by the Guardian Council.[37] These included all four women who applied to run in the election.[56] The applications of least 30 candidacies were rejected on 30 May for failure to meet the "basic conditions for qualification".[57] Former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was the most notable to be disqualified by the Guardian Council, having been disqualified previously in 2021.[58]

Approved

[edit]

Six candidates were allowed by the Guardian Council to run for president, namely Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Saeed Jalili, Masoud Pezeshkian, Mostafa Pourmohammadi, Amirhossein Ghazizadeh Hashemi and Alireza Zakani.[37] On 26 June, Hashemi withdrew his candidacy and called on other candidates to follow "so that the front of the revolution will be strengthened". He was followed on 27 June by Zakani, who did so citing the need to "block the formation of a third administration" of former President Hassan Rouhani.[59] Both candidates, as well as Ghalibaf, subsequently endorsed Jalili in the second round.[60]

Name Born Experience Party Result Ref

Masoud Pezeshkian
29 September 1954
(age 70)
Mahabad, Iran
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(since 2008)
Minister of Health and Medical Education
(2001–2005)
Independent Elected in run-off round

Saeed Jalili
6 September 1965
(age 59)
Mashhad, Iran
Member of the Expediency Discernment Council
(since 2013)
Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council
(2007–2013)
Chief Nuclear Negotiator
(2007–2013)
Presidential candidate (2013, 2021)
Independent Lost in run-off round

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
23 August 1961
(age 63)
Torqabeh, Iran
Speaker of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(since 2020)
Member of Expediency Discernment Council
(2017–2020)
Mayor of Tehran
(2005–2017)
Presidential candidate (2005, 2013 and 2017)
Progress and Justice
Population of Islamic Iran
Lost in first round

Mostafa Pourmohammadi
9 March 1960
(age 64)
Qom, Iran
Minister of Justice
(2013–2017)
Minister of Interior
(2005–2008)
Combatant Clergy Association Lost in first round

Amir-Hossein Ghazizadeh Hashemi
14 April 1971
(age 53)
Fariman, Iran
Vice President of Iran
(since 2021)
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2008–2021)
Presidential candidate (2021)
Islamic Law Party Withdrew before first round.
Endorsed Jalili, Ghalibaf and Zakani[61]
[62]

Alireza Zakani
3 March 1966
(age 58)
Ray, Iran
Mayor of Tehran
(since 2021)
Member of the Islamic Consultative Assembly
(2004–2016; 2020–2021)
Presidential candidate (2021)
Society of Pathseekers Withdrew before first round.
Endorsed Jalili and Ghalibaf[63]

Campaign platforms

[edit]

In a speech on 3 June, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei told candidates not to attack each other and expressed his preference for a "revolutionary president".[64]

The authorities gave 20GB of free internet data for use on domestic messengers and Telewebion for 30 days to mobile phones to promote information regarding the election.[65] US-funded Radio Farda anticipated the total cost of the election to be more than US$357 million.[66]

Saeed Jalili

[edit]

Saeed Jalili of the Front of Islamic Revolution Stability ran for president for the fourth time. He is the Supreme Leader's personal representative to the Supreme National Security Council and was formerly its Secretary, during which he was involved in the Iran nuclear negotiations.[67] Jalili was involved in governmental activities for the decade leading into the election.[68] He is backed by the Islamic Society of Students.[69] Jalili opposed negotiations with the West and the ratification of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF).[70] In addition, Jalili supported the completion of an additional one million housing units.[71] Jalili opposed importing cars from overseas while Ghalibaf supported the import of cars.[72] Jalili promised three days of free vacation to government tourist residences for every citizen per year.[73]

Masoud Pezeshkian

[edit]

Of the six candidates confirmed by the Guardian Council, Masoud Pezeshkian was regarded to be the only one representing moderates and reformists.[37] He was backed by Nedaye Iranian, the National Trust Party, Moderation and Development Party, Coalition of Reformist Women's Parties,[74][75][76] as well as former President Mohammad Khatami, former foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif[77] and the Assembly of the Forces of Imam's Line.[78] Pezeshkian's campaign slogan is "Living without Shamefulness".[79][80] He campaigned against the Guidance patrol's 2024 Nour program[81] and criticized Iranian laws on the wearing of the hijab.[82]

In his campaign speech, Pezeshkian said that he could not do anything for political prisoners as the power to release them does not belong to the president.[83] He told students not to insult Khamenei and that he had "assimilated into the Supreme leader".[84][85] His campaign staff used the song Baraye written by imprisoned singer Shervin Hajipour.[86] Pezeshkian also supported the banning of Afghan immigrants.[87]

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

[edit]

Ghalibaf promised to reduce the number of Afghan immigrants[88] and build a wall along Iran's borders with Afghanistan and Pakistan.[89] He expressed his support for strengthening the Axis of Resistance.[90] Ghalibaf promised better pay to health workers in order to stop emigration.[91] He said that he is open to closer relations with the United States and negotiating a new nuclear deal to alleviate Iran of its economic woes.[92]

Mostafa Pourmohammadi

[edit]

Mostafa Pourmohammadi pledged an end to internet censorship[93] and supports nuclear negotiations but from a position of power.[94] He criticized Iranian military support for the Russian invasion of Ukraine due to what he called a lack of reciprocal benefits from Russia.[95][96]

Alireza Zakani

[edit]

Alireza Zakani pledged to give away 120 tons of free meat every day.[97] He promised free health care for women and seniors and cash payments to the poor.[95]

Debates

[edit]

First round

[edit]

IRIB exclusively held and broadcast the presidential debates.[98][99] The questions to be asked in the debates were shared with all candidates beforehand.[100] The IRIB and the Election Office warned candidates against ruining the country's public image.[101][102] Documentaries will be also produced by IRIB for nominees.[103] The government also banned displaying images of candidates with Ali Khamenei and his predecessor as Supreme Leader, Ruhollah Khomeini.[104]

The candidates were asked during the first debate on issues such as inflation, the government's budget deficit, housing and corruption. All candidates pledged to have sanctions against Iran lifted, strengthen the rial and introduce reforms.[77] In the debate, Ghalibaf made several false claims on the economy, regarding energy waste in the country, national GDP and productivity rate.[105] Journalist Vahid Ashtari alleged that Ghalibaf falsely claimed about never having sued any journalist.[106] Ashtari was arrested on 20 June after posting luggage records of Ghalibaf's daughter, who travelled to Turkey.[107] Zakani falsely said that there were no hijab police deployed in the Tehran Metro and that he had not opposed imported COVID-19 vaccines.[108][109] Pourmohammedi claimed that IRIB TV2's news program 20:30 censored and manipulated a video he sent them.[110]

During the 20 June debates, while discussing culture Pezeshkian's advisor Mohammed Fazeli threw his microphone and left the debate after getting into an argument with one of the hosts.[111] Economic issues were again discussed during the debate, as well as fuel subsidies and education.[112] In the third debate Hashemi promised to make an area in beaches for women to ride jet skis and do water sports,[113] while Pourmohammedi promised to decriminalize not wearing a hijab and stop violent responses by police and Basij.[114] Jalili criticized media attention to Mahsa Amini's death rather than the deaths of thousands of women in Gaza.[115] Ghalibaf claimed Iran's National Information Network has progressed 75%, which Factnameh [fa] said was "unverifiable".[116]

In the fourth debate Pourmohammadi called Jalili a traitor for sabotaging the FATF ratification and Ahmadinejad's Crescent petroleum deal,[117] which Jalili denied and said the Crescent agreement was flawed.[118] Hashemi criticized Hassan Rouhani and the reformists for warmongering in Afghanistan and praised Ebrahim Raisi for making peace and not letting Israel advance.[119] Pourmohammadi called the 1988 executions of Iranian political prisoners a "project of difficult times of the government" and that "only People's Mojahedin Organization of Iran members who were fighting against the people were executed."[120]

In the fifth debate Hashemi promised to eliminate twelve months conscription for males.[121] Hashemi denied that Internet censorship in Iran exists, while Pezeshkian defended the 2019 Internet blackout in Iran.[122] Pourmohammadi pledged to bring transparency to the Tehran Stock Exchange.[123] Ghalibaf blamed Debsh government corruption on inequity.[124] During a debate on women, a representative of Jalili blamed women for being assaulted for not wearing a hijab.[125] Jalili himself told an interviewer that they did not understand the "strategic depth" of the hijab laws.[89] IRIB censored Pezeshkian's talk where he supported Mahsa Amini.[126]

Debate list
No Date and time Viewership
1 17 June[127] 26–27%[128]
2 20 June
3 21 June
4 24 June
5 25 June

Second round

[edit]

During a two-hour televised debate on IRIB on 1 July, Pezeshkian criticized Jalili over his lack of managerial experience, his stance on nuclear negotiations and his pledge to achieve an economic growth rate of 8% while in office, adding that authorities should be allowed to "execute" Jalili if his target was not met. Jalili accused Pezeshkian of having no plans to manage the country and instead lead it to a "backward position". Both candidates pledged to address issues involving the poor, workers, women, ethnic groups and religious minorities, as well as improve internet services. They also called for an investigation into the low turnout in the first round.[129] Pezeshkian called a situation in Iran a deadlock and said that no government will grow in a cage. He again criticized Jalili for his shadow state.[130]

During the final debate on 2 July, Pezeshkian pledged to revive a nuclear agreement with foreign powers, while Jalili called on the US to honor its commitments on par "with the commitments we fulfilled." Both candidates pledged to improve the economy, provide energy subsidies to the poor and facilitate the importation of cars while supporting domestic automobile makers.[131] Jalili made several misleading claims over the economy that sought to criticize the Rouhani administration and praise that of Raisi's.[132]

Criticism

[edit]

The Guardian Council denied allegations that they had rigged the election.[133] Abdolhamid Ismaeelzahi, the Sunni Friday Imam of Sistan and Baluchistan, criticized the system for not allowing women and religious minority candidates and closing down Sunni mosques and questioned the presidency's powers.[134][135][136] Four Sunni clerics were arrested in Urmia for criticizing the election.[137] Overseas monarchist opposition figures and groups such as Reza Pahlavi, the former crown prince of Iran, and the re-formed Iran-Novin Party called the election a circus.[138][139] United Against Nuclear Iran, an anti-Iran lobby group in the US, claimed that IRGC Baqiatallah HQ was engineering the election.[140] The National Front boycotted the election.[141]

Although doing so is criminalized,[142] the Iranian Complainant Mothers,[143] Faezeh Hashemi Rafsanjani (the daughter of former president Akbar Rafsanjani),[144] Nobel Peace Prize laureate Narges Mohammadi,[145] imprisoned activist Abolfazl Ghadyani,[146] house-arrested former prime minister Mir-Hossein Mousavi and his wife Zahra Rahnavard[147] and the Coalition for a Secular Democratic Republic in Iran [fa][148] have called for the boycotting of the election. Various reformist political prisoners like Mostafa Tajzadeh refused to support participating. The hashtag #ElectionCircus became prominent topics among Iranians on social media,[149] as well as the hashtag "traitorous minority", referring to calls against voting for either Pezeshkian or Jalili in the second round and calling anyone who does so a "traitor".[150]

In the first round, a majority of voters abstained from voting, resulting in a turnout of 39.93%, the lowest in the history of the Islamic Republic.[7] Turnout increased to 49.68% of votes in the runoff, possibly to prevent the election of Jalili.[151]

Masoud Pezeshkian's victory sparked controversy over Saeed Jalili's self-styled shadow government. Critics challenged its legitimacy, funding, and transparency, arguing it disrupts governance and lacks a clear legal basis in Iran.[152]

Opinion polling and forecasts

[edit]
Date Pollster Sample size Margin of error Jalili Ghalibaf Pezeshkian Hashemi Zakani Pourmohammadi Haven't decided Lead
4 July Islamic Consultative Assembly[153] 44.2% 53.7% 9.5%
3 July Iranian Students News Agency[154] ±2% 43.9% 49.5% 5.6%
26 June Tehran University[155] 3.5% 26.8% 23.3% 32.9% 3.6% 1.7% 1.6% 7.7% 6.1%
26 June Iranian Students Polling Agency[156] 3589 28.8% 19.1% 33.1% 2.8% 2.1% 1.4% 10.5% 4.3%
22–24 June Mellat Opinion Poll Institute (Islamic Consultative Assembly)[157] 1100 16.3% 16.9% 23.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5% 38.4% 6.6%
22–23 June Shenaakht[158] 1000 20% 19% 28% 3% 1% 1% 28% 8%
22–23 June Imam Sadeq University[159] 1500 21.5% 23.4% 24.4% 4.5% 2.4% 2% 21.8% 1%
22–23 June Iranian Students Polling Agency[160] 4057 24% 14.7% 24.4% 2% 1.7% 0.7% 30.6% 0.4%
18–20 June Mellat Opinion Poll Institute (Islamic Consultative Assembly) [161] 850 18.2% 20.7% 18.9% 4.6% 2% 1.8% 33.8% 1.8%
18–19 June Iranian Students Polling Agency[162] 4545 26.2% 19% 19.8% 2.6% 2% 0.9% 27.4% 6.4%
18–19 June Imam Sadeq University[163] 23.5% 29.3% 30% 2.7% 1.2% 1.1% 12.4% 0.7%
11–13 June Research Center for Culture, Art and Communication[164] 36.7% 30.4% 28.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 62%[a] 6.3%
30 May Beginning of registration

The Iranian Students Polling Agency predicted a turnout of 44.4%.[165][166] According to a poll conducted between 26 and 29 May 2024 by the Majlis Research Center, the voter turnout is predicted to be over 53%.[167] At the other end of the spectrum, polling conducted by the Ministry of Culture and Islamic Guidance predicted just 30% participation in Tehran.[168] The Law Enforcement Command of the Islamic Republic of Iran warned people against sharing posts with fake polls, declaring it a crime.[169]

On 25 June, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei called for "high participation" in the election, calling it "the pride of the Islamic republic".[170] He also warned against supporting candidates who believe that "all ways to progress" come from the United States.[171] Abbas Abdi, one of Iran's most influential reformist figures, predicted a maximum turnout of 60%, and a minimum of 55%.[172][173] The IRGC's Telegram channel conducted a poll in which Pezeshkian won 60% of the votes.[174]

Conduct

[edit]
Pezeshkian voting in election

Voting was held in nearly 60,000 voting stations and 90,000 "voting points" nationwide, while more than 300 voting stations were set up overseas. Polling in the first round was initially expected to run from 08:00 to 18:00,[175] but was extended at the last minute by the Interior Ministry to 20:00.[176] Polling was also extended until midnight on the second round of voting.[177]

Incidents

[edit]

A video was posted during the campaign of a pro-Pezeshkian lawyer in Tabriz being beaten up in a desert by security forces. The Ministry of Justice opened an investigation.[178] Two members of the security forces were killed in a gun attack on a vehicle carrying election boxes in Sistan and Baluchistan.[179]

Iran's Internet Minister claimed that the country's fiber optic network was sabotaged on 28 June.[180] The interior ministry said it had arrested members of "Project 1000 Squares" which had planned to celebrate the election win of an undisclosed candidate.[181]

On 19 July, the governor[b] of Basht was arrested on charges of electoral misconduct.[182]

Results

[edit]

Official results showed Pezeshkian and Jalili heading into a run-off scheduled on 5 July. Turnout in the first round was at 40 percent, the lowest for a presidential election in Iran since 1979,[183] while a total of 1,056,159 ballots were deemed as spoiled. The election also saw the first presidential run-off vote in Iran since 2005.[184]

CandidateParty or allianceFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Masoud PezeshkianIndependentReformists10,415,99144.3616,384,40354.76
Saeed JaliliIndependentPrinciplists9,473,29840.3513,538,17945.24
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafProgress and Justice Population of Islamic IranPrinciplists3,383,34014.41
Mostafa PourmohammadiCombatant Clergy AssociationPrinciplists206,3970.88
Total23,479,026100.0029,922,582100.00
Valid votes23,479,02695.7029,922,58298.01
Invalid/blank votes1,056,1594.30607,5751.99
Total votes24,535,185100.0030,530,157100.00
Registered voters/turnout61,452,32139.9361,452,32149.68
Source: ISNA, IranIntl, Tejarat News

Provincial data (first round)

[edit]
Vote composition of Iranian provinces along with participation rates[185]
Province Masoud Pezeshkian (Votes) Saeed Jalili (Votes) Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf (Votes) Mostafa Pourmohammadi (Votes) Total Votes Participation Rate (%)
Azarbaijan, East 1,067,088 244,076 57,432 7,276 1,402,108 44.11
Azarbaijan, West 806,620 145,619 58,011 4,960 1,010,210 40
Ardabil 382,647 72,878 36,377 2,676 504,602 48.5
Isfahan 428,098 868,431 139,979 16,524 1,454,032 41
Alborz 298,664 271,695 97,182 741 674,148 40.13
Ilam 119,843 44,706 30,852 1,704 208,187 47
Bushehr 144,138 167,217 40,850 2,618 374,345 46.5
Tehran 1,492,164 1,165,518 673,000 35,582 3,366,264 33
Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari 123,046 118,523 28,231 2,464 282,264 40
Khorasan, South 102,354 225,825 48,776 2,319 391,329 64
Khorasan, Razavi 661,493 1,212,033 429,458 19,330 2,415,696 49.39
Khorasan, North 115,697 115,672 57,638 1,026 320,407 45
Khuzestan 433,699 524,084 175,732 12,529 1,146,044 29.6
Zanjan 195,165 132,409 48,479 1,026 392,000 46.2
Semnan 73,287 137,081 34,759 2,302 262,284 49.2
Sistan and Baluchestan 443,226 199,976 87,788 4,368 735,358 40
Fars 532,947 634,294 132,848 10,292 1,310,381 36
Qazvin 156,853 166,852 51,811 3,358 395,753 42.8
Qom TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD 57
Kordestan TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
Kerman 329,470 477,589 215,892 8,513 1,070,286 46
Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad 123,240 102,112 55,348 1,518 288,937 49.3
Golestan 275,366 205,974 81,095 5,023 591,201 41.16
Gilan 317,248 216,339 90,019 6,759 656,936 32.6
Lorestan 234,721 191,510 100,967 4,395 540,000 36
Mazandaran 406,485 448,308 132,151 9,629 1,043,570 42.3
Markazi 136,282 233,645 61,359 4,355 457,074 39.9
Hormozgan TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
Hamedan 199,466 266,875 76,583 5,283 572,842 39
Yazd 165,696 213513 35,680 3,829 436,722 58.18

Maps and graphs

[edit]

First Round

[edit]

Second Round

[edit]

Turnout

[edit]

Aftermath

[edit]

In his first statements following his victory, Pezeshkian said that "the difficult path ahead will not be smooth", while pledging to serve all Iranians. In his concession statement, Jalili called for Pezeshkian to be respected. Pezeshkian is expected to assume the presidency within 30 days of the election, after he resigns from his seat in the Islamic Consultative Assembly and gains the formal approval of Khamenei.[186] In his speech in the Mausoleum of Ruhollah Khomeini, Pezeshkian thanked Khamenei for his support.[187] Khamenei praised the turnout despite what he called a campaign "by the enemies of the Iranian nation to induce despair and a feeling of hopelessness" and called on Pezeshkian to "set his vision on high, bright horizons."[188]

Senior Khamenei advisor Kamal Kharazi stated that the election would not affect Iranian foreign policy as it is controlled by the Strategic Council for Foreign Relations [fa].[189]

In his first post victory op-ed Pezeshkian called the 25 year cooperation between China and Iran a milestone and commended Iran-Russia detente.[190]

On 28 July, Pezeshkian received Khamenei's official endorsement to hold office as president. Pezeshkian also appointed as his first vice president Mohammad Reza Aref, a reformist politician who had previously served in the same position under Mohammad Khatami.[191]

Reactions

[edit]

Domestic

[edit]

Khamenei downplayed the low turnout in the first round, saying that it did not indicate opposition to the political system,[192] but ordered an investigation into its causes.[193] Former minister Ata'ollah Mohajerani criticized the administration of President Mokhber for failing to fulfill its mandate and campaigning instead for Jalili.[194] Mokhber has denied this.[195] The newspaper Kayhan published an editorial saying that the government will not give in to blackmail by election boycotters.[196] The reformist newspapers Sazandegi and Hammihan urged voters to participate in the election through their editorials.[197]

Former MP Mahmoud Sadeghi said that the Islamic Development Organization paid clerics to campaign for Jalili.[198] Commanding general of the IRGC, Hossein Salami called the election "today's jihad".[199][200] The Alliance for Democracy and Freedom in Iran's Hamed Esmaeilion, Reza Pahlavi and Masih Alinejad hailed the historically low turnout as a victory against the regime.[201]

International

[edit]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ This poll took the percentages of the candidates among those who already had a preference. Hence, this percentage is only representative.
  2. ^ administrator of a county in Iran

References

[edit]
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