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Meta-Analysis of General and Partial Equilibrium Simulations of Doha Round Outcomes
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Meta-Analysis of General and Partial Equilibrium Simulations of Doha Round Outcomes

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  • Hess, Sebastian
  • von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan

Abstract

Quantification of welfare changes due to trade liberalisation play a crucial role for political decision making. However, meaningful comparisons of simulation results from different sources are difficult. Often significant differences in simulated gains from liberalisation do not serve to increase confidence in quantitative assessments based on trade models. We employ a metaanalysis of applied trade simulations under the WTO Doha Round to identify model characteristics that influence the magnitude of simulation results, and to estimate the magnitude of this influence. Findings from our simple econometric model are plausible and show that each simulation experiment represents a complex interaction of experimental settings that may not easily be understood by and communicated to non-experts. Meta-analysis proves to be a useful tool for empirically assessing this complexity.

Suggested Citation

  • Hess, Sebastian & von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan, 2006. "Meta-Analysis of General and Partial Equilibrium Simulations of Doha Round Outcomes," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25512, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae06:25512
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.25512
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    Cited by:

    1. David Guerreiro, 2010. "Une méta-analyse de l’impact des subventions sur le prix mondial du coton," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 195(4), pages 111-125.
    2. Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan & Falkowski, Jan & Ferto, Imre, 2012. "What causes asymmetric price transmission in agro-food sector? Meta-analysis perspective," 86th Annual Conference, April 16-18, 2012, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 134765, Agricultural Economics Society.
    3. Hess, Sebastian & von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan, 2008. "Agricultural Trade Policy Modelling: Insights from a Meta-Analysis of Doha Development Agenda Outcomes," Commissioned Papers 43466, Canadian Agricultural Trade Policy Research Network.
    4. Permani Risti, 2011. "The Impacts of Trade Liberalisation and Technological Change on GDP Growth in Indonesia: A Meta Regression Analysis," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 11(4), pages 1-30, December.
    5. Pelikan, J. & Brockmeier, M., 2009. "Wohlfahrtswirkungen einer Handelsliberalisierung: Welchen Einfluss hat die Zollaggregation auf die Modellergebnisse?," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 44, March.
    6. Brockmeier, Martina & Bektasoglu, Beyhan, 2014. "Model structure or data aggregation level: Which leads to greater bias of results?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 238-245.
    7. David Guerreiro, 2009. "Une méta-analyse de l’impact des subventions sur le prix mondial du coton," Working Papers hal-04140843, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade;

    JEL classification:

    • C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General

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