Some searches may not work properly. We apologize for the inconvenience.
My bibliography Save this paperModelling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Risk with Time Varying Skewness Stochastic Volatility Models
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2005. "Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 72(3), pages 821-852.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions," CAMA Working Papers 2019-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Carlos Montes-Galdón & Eva Ortega, 2022.
"Skewed SVARs: Tracking the Structural Sources of Macroeconomic Tail Risks,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 177-210,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Carlos Montes-Galdón & Eva Ortega, 2022. "Skewed SVARs: tracking the structural sources of macroeconomic tail risks," Working Papers 2208, Banco de España.
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2023.
"Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Sune Karlsson & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen, 2021. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Papers 2105.11182, arXiv.org.
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2021. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Working Papers 2021:8, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Jacquier, Eric & Polson, Nicholas G. & Rossi, P.E.Peter E., 2004. "Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models with fat-tails and correlated errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 185-212, September.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Botelho, Vasco & Foroni, Claudia & Renzetti, Andrea, 2023. "Labour at risk," Working Paper Series 2840, European Central Bank.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Gruber, Lutz F. & West, Mike, 2017. "Bayesian online variable selection and scalable multivariate volatility forecasting in simultaneous graphical dynamic linear models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 3-22.
- Mandalinci, Zeyyad, 2017.
"Forecasting inflation in emerging markets: An evaluation of alternative models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1082-1104.
- Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models," CReMFi Discussion Papers 3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"The global component of inflation volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 700-721, June.
- Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "The global component of inflation volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1170, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco, 2019. "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2023.
"Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Sune Karlsson & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen, 2021. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Papers 2105.11182, arXiv.org.
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2021. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Working Papers 2021:8, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Vito Polito & Yunyi Zhang, 2021. "Tackling Large Outliers in Macroeconomic Data with Vector Artificial Neural Network Autoregression," CESifo Working Paper Series 9395, CESifo.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2017.
"Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 482-501.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails with an Application to Inflation Forecasting," EMF Research Papers 13, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," MPRA Paper 75424, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," BCAM Working Papers 1603, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2013.
"Moving average stochastic volatility models with application to inflation forecast,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 162-172.
- Joshua C C Chan, 2012. "Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Inflation Forecast," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2012-591, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2013. "Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Inflation Forecast," CAMA Working Papers 2013-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018.
"Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(5), pages 799-815, December.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1639, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2016. "Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1622, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2018.
"Policy uncertainty and aggregate fluctuations,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 319-331, April.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2013. "Policy Uncertainty and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers 708, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2013. "Policy Uncertainty and Aggregate Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 9694, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Luca Benati, 2008.
"The “Great Moderation” in the United Kingdom,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(1), pages 121-147, February.
- Luca Benati, 2008. "The "Great Moderation" in the United Kingdom," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(1), pages 121-147, February.
- Benati, Luca, 2007. "The "Great Moderation" in the United Kingdom," Working Paper Series 769, European Central Bank.
- Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Mumtaz, Haroon & Pintér, Gábor, 2017.
"Forecasting with VAR models: Fat tails and stochastic volatility,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1124-1143.
- Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2015. "Forecasting with VAR Models: Fat Tails and Stochastic Volatility," CReMFi Discussion Papers 2, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Mumtaz, Haroon & Pinter, Gabor, 2015. "Forecasting with VAR models: fat tails and stochastic volatility," Bank of England working papers 528, Bank of England.
- Bobeica, Elena & Hartwig, Benny, 2023. "The COVID-19 shock and challenges for inflation modelling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 519-539.
- Paul Ho, 2021. "Forecasting in the Absence of Precedent," Working Paper 21-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
- Iseringhausen, Martin, 2024.
"A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 229-246.
- Martin Iseringhausen, 2021. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," Working Papers 49, European Stability Mechanism.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2008.
"Evolving International Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from a Time-varying Dynamic Factor Model,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6767, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving international inflation dynamics: evidence from a time-varying dynamic factor model," Bank of England working papers 341, Bank of England.
- Tamás Kiss & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023.
"Modeling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond‐yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non‐Gaussian innovations,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 347-368, March.
- Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2021. "Modelling the Relation between the US Real Economy and the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian Disturbances," Working Papers 2021:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Mumtaz, Haroon & Pinter, Gabor, 2016.
"VAR models with non-Gaussian shocks,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
86238, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2016. "VAR Models with Non-Gaussian Shocks," CReMFi Discussion Papers 4, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Ching-Wai Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2016. "VAR Models with Non-Gaussian Shocks," Discussion Papers 1609, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2019.
"Point and density forecasts of oil returns: The role of geopolitical risks,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 580-587.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Point and Density Forecasts of Oil Returns: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201847, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017.
"Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis?,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 931-951, August.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis?," Working Paper 2014/13, Norges Bank.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Aastveit, Knut Are & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2016. "Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis?," CEPR Discussion Papers 11558, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis?," Working Papers (Old Series) 1411, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
More about this item
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-ECM-2023-07-31 (Econometrics)
- NEP-ETS-2023-07-31 (Econometric Time Series)
- NEP-FDG-2023-07-31 (Financial Development and Growth)
- NEP-RMG-2023-07-31 (Risk Management)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2306.09287. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.