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Crecimiento Económico: ¿Es posible recuperar un ritmo superior al 4% anual?
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Crecimiento Económico: ¿Es posible recuperar un ritmo superior al 4% anual?

Author

Listed:
  • Hernando José Gómez R.
  • Laura J. Higuera

Abstract

Siguiendo la tradición, para estimular el debate de ideas en la contienda presidencial de 2018, Fedesarrollo lideró la elaboración de varios documentos con propuestas de política pública en áreas críticas para el desarrollo económico y social del país. En este documento, Hernando José Gómez y Laura Higuera analizan las causas de la drástica reducción que se ha observado en el ritmo de crecimiento potencial de la producción en Colombia. Los autores se plantean la pregunta clave sobre cuáles serían las políticas requeridas para llevar nuevamente el crecimiento a ritmos superiores al 4% y ofrecen importantes recomendaciones de política al respecto. Esas políticas se organizan alrededor de la remoción de obstáculos para el crecimiento de la productividad en tres frentes: la provisión de bienes públicos, la rigidez de los mercados y los aspectos regulatorios que desbalancean el terreno de juego y generan incentivos adversos e ineficiencias administrativas. La riqueza del análisis y recomendaciones de Gómez e Higuera se complementan en el presente Cuaderno de Fedesarrollo con los comentarios de Hernando Zuleta a su trabajo, en los cuales, por un lado, se transmiten mensajes de optimismo pero, por otro, se enfatizan los problemas de economía política que enfrentan las decisiones requeridas para resolver los problemas de productividad.

Suggested Citation

  • Hernando José Gómez R. & Laura J. Higuera, 2018. "Crecimiento Económico: ¿Es posible recuperar un ritmo superior al 4% anual?," Cuadernos de Fedesarrollo 16250, Fedesarrollo.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000439:016250
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Armando Montenegro & Carlos Esteban Posada, 1995. "Criminalidad en Colombia," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, March.
    2. Edgar Villa & Manuel Moscoso & Jorge A. Restrepo, 2012. "Crecimiento, Conflicto Armado y Crimen Organizado: Evidencia para Colombia," Vniversitas Económica 10010, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá.
    3. Xavier Sala-I-Martin & Gernot Doppelhofer & Ronald I. Miller, 2004. "Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(4), pages 813-835, September.
    4. Ricardo Rocha & Alejandro Vivas, 1998. "Crecimiento regional en Colombia: ¿Persiste la desigualdad?," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, January.
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