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The Lasting Impacts of Middle School Principals
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The Lasting Impacts of Middle School Principals

Author

Listed:
  • Eric A. Hanushek
  • Andrew J. Morgan
  • Steven G. Rivkin
  • Jeffrey C. Schiman
  • Ayman Shakeel
  • Lauren Sartain

Abstract

Using rich Texas administrative data, we estimate the impact of middle school principals on post-secondary schooling, employment, and criminal justice outcomes. The results highlight the importance of school leadership, though striking differences emerge in the relative importance of different skill dimensions to different outcomes. The estimates reveal large and highly significant effects of principal value-added to cognitive skills on the productive activities of schooling and work but much weaker effects of value-added to noncognitive skills on these outcomes. In contrast, there is little or no evidence that middle school principals affect the probability a male is arrested and has a guilty disposition by raising cognitive skills but strong evidence that they affect these outcomes through their impacts on noncognitive skills, especially those related to the probability of an out-of-school suspension. In addition, the principal effects on the probability of engagement in the criminal justice system are much larger for Black than for nonBlack males, corresponding to race differences in engagement with the criminal justice system.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric A. Hanushek & Andrew J. Morgan & Steven G. Rivkin & Jeffrey C. Schiman & Ayman Shakeel & Lauren Sartain, 2024. "The Lasting Impacts of Middle School Principals," NBER Working Papers 32642, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32642
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I20 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - General
    • J45 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Public Sector Labor Markets

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