ABSTRACT A Markovian model is proposed to account for the hostility in the diplomatic
communications exchanged between the six key countries 38 days prior to the outbreak of …

The Cuban crisis of October 1962 may be analyzed from several perspectives. The
investigator may focus his attention on the unique characteristics of the situation and …

There are two traditions of research in the field of international relations that have had
surprisingly little to say to one another. On the one hand, there have been a number of …

In a previous paper, 1 the perceptual mecha-nisms of decision-makers in crisis were
discussed using a closed and open model approach. The point was made that, except for …

This study was primarily concerned with three aspects of hostility. First, we were in-terested
in the behavioral effects of a &dquo; perse-cution&dquo; feeling. If a state saw itself as the …

In an earlier article (Muncaster and Zinnes, 1983) a dynamic model was presented that
linked hostile interaction, protracted conflict, and war. The key variables in the model …

The dynamics of crisis behavior have long been an important subject of inquiry for students
of international politics. Only recently, however, has there been any effort to examine …

This article presents a stress-coping-choice model of state behavior in international crisis.
Competing definitions of crisis are first examined, with special reference to the differences …

Psychiatric Institute, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 1 The study to be reported is concerned
with some aspects of thinking about inter-national events. Each individual has an ide-ology …

52 these motivational processes underlies the change in attitude, we would make different
predictions about the manifestations and consequences of the new attitudes: about their …