POLL FINDS STRONG SUPPORT FOR ARMENIAN ENTRY INTO EU. Almost two
in three Armenians believe that their country should eventually
join the European Union in order to become democratic, secure and
prosperous, according to a new opinion poll released on 21 December.
Pollsters from the Armenian Center for National and International
Studies (ACNIS), an independent think-tank, said 64 percent of some
2,000 people interviewed by them in recent weeks were firmly in
favor of EU membership and only 11.8 percent were against. They
said a concurrent survey of 100 political and policy experts found
almost unanimous support for Armenia's accession to the expanding
bloc. The findings of the nationwide survey are in tune with a similar
poll conducted in Yerevan in October by another private institution,
Vox Populi. It suggested that as many as 72 percent of city residents
believe, with varying degrees of conviction, that their country's
future lies with the EU rather than the Russian-dominated Commonwealth
of Independent States (CIS). In the words of Stepan Safarian, a
senior ACNIS analyst, public opinion in Armenia, traditionally sympathetic
to Russia, appears to have undergone a pro-Western shift over the
past year due to the "revolutions" in Georgia and Ukraine.
"Armenians are quite pragmatic people," he told RFE/RL.
"They probably think that if the EU was a bad place others
would not be so keen to join it." Safarian also claimed that
Russia's hard bargain on debts owed by Armenia is losing it support
among ordinary Armenians. "Sooner or later society will have
to make a choice between one or another [foreign policy] direction,"
he said. "I believe that this choice will be in favor of the
EU." Still, many people continue to think well of Russia, with
just over half of those polled thinking that the latter will help
Armenia gain EU membership. By contrast, 60 percent of the experts
feel that the Russians will try to thwart it. Public and expert
opinions also differ markedly on Turkey's accession to the EU. ACNIS
experts said 52 percent of ordinary respondents are opposed to Turkish
membership, while 61 percent of experts say it would be good for
Armenia. Armenians also seem to realize that their possible EU entry
is a long way off. More than two-thirds of them, according to the
poll, believe that Armenia will not be ready to join the union for
at least 10 years.
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