非 加速 通 货膨胀失业率
以NAIRU
起源 [编辑]
NAIRU
自然 率 假 设[编辑]
NAIRU[编辑]
性 质[编辑]
如果NAIRU
- 如果几
年来 ,通 胀预期 便 会 上 升 ,通 胀水平 便 会 上 升 ;
- 如果几
年来 ,通 胀预期 便 会 下降 ,通 胀便会 减速(出 现反 通 货膨胀);
- 如果,
那 么除非 有 外部 冲击,通 胀率不 会 改 变。
参 见[编辑]
参考 资料[编辑]
- ^ Coe, David T, Nominal Wages. The NAIRU and Wage Flexibility. (PDF), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, [2022-06-09], (
原始 内容 存 档 (PDF)于2018-02-26) - ^ The NAIRU, explained: why economists don't want unemployment to drop too low (页面
存 档备份,存 于互联网档案 馆), Vox, Matthew Yglesias, Nov 14, 2014. " . . it's broadly agreed that the NAIRU can change over time. . " - ^ 3.0 3.1 Modigliani, Franco; Papademos, Lucas. Targets for Monetary Policy in the Coming Year (PDF). Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (The Brookings Institution). 1975, 1975 (1): 141–165 [2022-06-09]. JSTOR 2534063. doi:10.2307/2534063. (
原始 内容 存 档 (PDF)于2022-05-26). - ^ Robert M. Solow, Modigliani and Monetarism 互联网档
案 馆的 存 檔,存 档日期 2014-12-28., p. 6. - ^ Snowdon, Brian; Vane, Howard R. Modern Macroeconomics: Its Origins, Development and Current State. Cheltenham: E. Elgar. 2005: 187. ISBN 1-84376-394-X.
- ^ Friedman, Milton. The Role of Monetary Policy. American Economic Review. 1968, 58 (1): 1–17. JSTOR 1831652.
- ^ FA Hayek, ‘Full Employment, Planning and Inflation’ (1950) 4(6) Institute of Public Affairs Review 174. E McGaughey, 'Will Robots Automate Your Job Away? Full Employment, Basic Income, and Economic Democracy' (2018) SSRN, part 2(1), 5 (页面
存 档备份,存 于互联网档案 馆) - ^ Hoover, Kevin D, Phillips Curve, The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics, The Library of Economics and Liberty, [16 July 2007], (
原始 内容 存 档于2019-10-23) - ^ 9.0 9.1 Tobin, James. SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS ON EMPLOYMENT AND OUTPUT: NAIRU VERSUS NATURAL RATE (PDF). Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper. April 1997 [8 June 2018]. (
原始 内容 存 档 (PDF)于2022-06-09). - ^ Ball, Laurence; Mankiw, N. Gregory. The NAIRU in Theory and Practice (PDF). Journal of Economic Perspectives. 2002, 16 (4): 115–136 [8 June 2018]. doi:10.1257/089533002320951000. (
原始 内容 存 档 (PDF)于2019-10-08).
延伸 阅读[编辑]
- K Clark and L Summers, ‘Labour Force Participation: Timing and Persistence’ (1982) 49(5) Review of Economic Studies 825
- SP Hargreaves Heap, ‘Choosing the Wrong ‘Natural’ Rate: Accelerating Inflation or Decelerating Employment and Growth?’ (1980) 90(359) Economic Journal 611.
- FA Hayek, ‘Full Employment, Planning and Inflation’ (1950) 4(6) Institute of Public Affairs Review 174
- E McGaughey, 'Will Robots Automate Your Job Away? Full Employment, Basic Income, and Economic Democracy' (2018) SSRN, part 2(1) (页面
存 档备份,存 于互联网档案 馆) - Fair, Ray C. Testing the NAIRU model. Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. 2004: 67–79. ISBN 0-674-01546-0.
- Lerner, Abba P. A Wage Policy for Full Employment. The Economics of Employment. New York: McGraw-Hill. 1951: 209–219.
- Staiger, Douglas; Stock, James H.; Watson, Mark W. The NAIRU, Unemployment and Monetary Policy. Journal of Economic Perspectives. 1997, 11 (1): 33–49 [2023-01-01]. JSTOR 2138250. doi:10.1257/jep.11.1.33. (
原始 内容 存 档于2015-09-21).
外部 链接[编辑]
- NAIRU (页面
存 档备份,存 于互联网档案 馆) - U.S. Natural Rate of Unemployment (Long-Term) (页面
存 档备份,存 于互联网档案 馆), 1949–present - U.S. Natural Rate of Unemployment (Short-Term) (页面
存 档备份,存 于互联网档案 馆), 1949–present